Las Vegas

MAKE MONEY, HAVE FUN DOING IT.

With the use of our sports betting model, we are
able to quantify edge and find +EV bets to make
you a profitable sports bettor.

 

DO YOU WANT TO BE A PROFITABLE SPORTS BETTOR?

What makes us different:

Our goal is to make that happen.  The chart listed is an example of what you will receive with a paid subscription.  The spread and total are listed along with the corresponding odds and moneyline odds. The model then highlights areas where we predict a higher % chance of a win compared to the listed odds.  These models are provided for NFL, CFB, NHL, and MLB (once the season begins).  It is not available for CBB because of the continuous line movement and the amount of games played each day and I do not offer NBA.

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THE MODEL

More on what goes into the model, our betting strategy, and our process.

I was tired of seeing people trust others beliefs on the outcome of a game, based on no data whatsoever, so I set out to develop a model based on facts. Our betting model takes season long data, historical season data, recent play, matchups, weather, and more into consideration with the goal of finding game totals and spreads with positive expected value.  We have player based models and team based models so we can quickly adjust for player injuries and quantify their role.

We make our decisions based on expected value.  Essentially, is the juice worth the squeeze?  It is common, especially in NHL, to have heavy favorites (say -200 or higher) on the books each night.  We translate that number into a probability and compare that percentage to the models stated implied probability.  This concept works for an underdog as well. If there is a +400 underdog playing in a game but the model equates their chance of winning closer to +200, that may be a spot that would highlight in the chart above.  The important thing to remember in this scenario is that the most likely outcome would be the underdog to lose the game.  The reason the model would highlight this spot would be because the payout for a win would be higher than it should be given our listed probability.   Essentially, we are able to quantify "is it worth it".  

We do not know how a game will unfold, but we can make data driven decisions and make a prediction.  More importantly, we can quantify that decision for you to see.

 

NFL FUTURES I WROTE ABOUT AND HOPE YOU TAILED

Rams to win NFC & Super Bowl

The first two article sections are from an article I wrote on January 13th.  The full article can be found by clicking here. The 3rd section is from a blog post I wrote just before the AFC/NFC Championship games and that article can be found in my blog section of the website.

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Bengals to win AFC

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Cooper Kupp to win SB MVP

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